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About MarketPsych

MarketPsych LLC is a leader in behavioral finance, applying the competitive advantages from modern psychology into finance through data, research, and consulting.

DATA
World's most comprehensive sentiment data produced in partnership with Thomson Reuters
RESEARCH
Predictive analytics underlying economic research, trading strategies, and investment recommendations
CONSULTING
Best-in-class coaching for financial advisors, traders and investors

Latest News

June 30, 2016

We're pleased to announce a new website.  Please let us know any questions or comments about the transition.

June 30, 2016

Our latest sentiment-based research on Tesla (TSLA) from May 5, 2016 and Amazon (AMZN) versus Wal-Mart on June 13, 2016.

June 25, 2016

"How Data Science Predicted Brexit" (using the TRMI) by Tayyab Tariq

Recent Press

May 14, 2016

How To Time The Stock Market Using Media Sentiment -- Ky Trang Ho Forbes

May 01, 2016

Book Review: Trading On Sentiment -- Brenda Jubin Investing.com

March 28, 2016

The ‘Brussels’ effect in investing -- Judy Martel Bankrate.com


July 03, 2016

How to Predict Brexit - the Human Face of Market Risk

"In fact, it was as a journalist who played around with the facts that Mr. [Boris] Johnson first made his name. He was fired from his first reporting job, at The Times of London, for inventing a quote and attributing it to an Oxford professor (who happened to be is godfather)."
~ "Luck Runs Out for a Leader of 'Brexit" Campaign." New York Times, June 30, 2016.  

Boris Johnson is a former Mayor of London, Member of Parliament (MP), and was a leader of the Brexit campaign.  He was poised to become the next British Prime Minister until engaging in odd behavior last week.  

Johnson started his working life in the media.  In 1989 he was assigned to report on the EU from Brussels by the Daily Telegraph where he misrepresented the dysfunction of the EU in order to gain readership, and he enjoyed the public's shock at his stories:  “I was just chucking these rocks over the garden wall and listening to this amazing crash from the greenhouse next door over in England,” he told an interviewer.  Some of his misrepresentations about the EU became conventional wisdom in the UK, and they may have stoked the euroscepticism behind the Brexit vote (and the subsequent global market declines).

At MarketPsych we research how media information moves investors and market prices.  Some information that hits markets is well-defined, such as the impact of the nonfarm payrolls number described in this past newsletter.  When information fits an understood model, it is taken in stride, and the markets stay calm.  But sometimes events shake our fundamental beliefs about the world, and new frameworks for understanding events are needed.  Today’s newsletter examines human risk in markets - the urge to independence - and a unique media-based trading model that correctly predicted the market direction around the Brexit vote.
 
continue reading...

World Markets

- (30 day data)

Price Buzz Sntment Econunc Govinst
United States -0.1%
United Kingdom -0.1%
Germany +0.2%
Japan +1.3%
China +2.6%
India +4.6%

updated 2016-09-08

Currencies

- (30 day data)

Price Buzz Sntment Prcfrc Volatil
US Dollar -0.7%
Euro +0.7%
Brazilian Real -2.7%
Japanese Yen -1.2%

updated 2016-09-08

Commodities

- (30 day data)

Price Buzz Sntment Prodvol Cnsmvol
Crude Oil +14.2%
Natural Gas +9.6%
Gold -0.5%
Corn +1.4%

updated 2016-09-08

US Sectors

- (30 day data)

Price Buzz Sntment Innovtn Earnfct
Technology +0.7%
Energy +6.7%
Utilities -0.7%
Financials +2.6%
Industrials +0.8%

updated 2016-09-08

US Large Cap

- (30 day data)

Price Buzz Sntment Mktrisk Fundmstr
Apple Inc -2.3%
Bank of America Corp +7.6%
General Electric Co -0.7%
JPMorgan Chase & Co +3.0%
Microsoft Corp -0.4%
Wal-Mart Stores Inc -2.9%

updated 2016-09-08


Countries Top Lists

- (30 day data)

Trade Balance
Highest Lowest
Saudi Arabia Singapore
Ireland Japan
Spain Philippines
Denmark Hong Kong
Germany Indonesia
Uncertainty
Highest Lowest
Spain Pakistan
Canada Turkey
Saudi Arabia Philippines
Denmark India
Japan South Africa

updated 2016-09-08

Currencies Top Lists

- (30 day data)

Price Momemtum
Highest Lowest
Israeli Shekel Norwegian Krone
New Zealand Dollar Egyptian Pound
Hong Kong Dollar Mexican Peso
Thai Baht Swedish Krona
Indian Rupee South Korean Won
Long Short
Highest Lowest
Thai Baht Chinese Yuan Renminbi
United Arab Emirates Dirham Egyptian Pound
Singapore Dollar South Korean Won
Taiwanese Dollar Indonesian Rupiah
Swedish Krona Indian Rupee

updated 2016-09-08

Commodities Top Lists

- (30 day data)

Trust
Highest Lowest
Soybeans Wheat
Gold Rice
Natural Gas Hogs
Copper Heating Oil
Crude Oil Platinum
Gloom
Highest Lowest
Copper Palladium
Crude Oil Hogs
Gold Wheat
Corn Soybeans
Natural Gas Orange Juice

updated 2016-09-08

Equities Top Lists

- (30 day data)

Time Urgency
Highest Lowest
Owens-Illinois Inc Campbell Soup Co
Vulcan Materials Co Molson Coors Brewing Co
Travelers Companies Inc Tractor Supply Co
Nike Inc Sigma-Aldrich Corp
Waters Corp Leucadia National Corp
Stress
Highest Lowest
Comerica Inc Stanley Black & Decker Inc
AbbVie Inc CBRE Group Inc
Delta Air Lines Inc Waters Corp
Consolidated Edison Inc United Rentals Inc
Nike Inc Dover Corp

updated 2016-09-08